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An election of all against
all - and the Troika win
The story of the Dail election of 2016
can be easily told around a few issues.
In the first dispute Fine Gael indignantly
denied that they would seek the support of former Michael Lowry TD to prop
up a minority coalition - his history of tax evasion and corruption ruled
him out.
Yet the Lowry formula dominates the election.
All the candidates intend to trade support for this or that coalition in
return for concessions on specific issues. Given that we stay within the
capitalist budget the overall attack on workers remains in place,
Rather than a new politics, the election
remains firmly in the tradition of gombeen cronyism. A number of independent
candidates are openly proposing to sell their votes and this meets with
widespread approval—the only alternative—independent action by the working
class—is rarely put forward.
The other big issue in the election is
that of "fiscal space." The coalition had a deal with the Troika
to build an election war chest and had inflated that by several billion.
The charge was that they were operating outside the financial stability
act that constraints government spending and enforces austerity.
But the dispute means that all the parties
were operating within the FSA space and the economic programme of the Troika.
The dominion of Ireland by the Troika will not be seriously addressed in
this campaign. To be fair to the socialist candidates, they do from time
to time mention the repudiation of debt, but given that this would mean
war with the Troika we would need much greater detail—a serious plan
of defence rather than a reference to debt conferences. In contrast Sinn
Fein have announced that the banking debt has the force of law and the
party has been given the all clear locally by the Irish Times (a safe pair
of hands) and confidence in the party has been expressed by Goldman Sachs
(nothing to worry about) meanwhile the austerity agenda in the North proceeds
apace.
The debate descended into farce when Michael
Noonan "closed" the fiscal gap by announcing that Fine Gael would tax the
rich! As this was the magic bullet advanced by the opposition it meant
that class politics went out the window and was replaced by competing claims
of giveaways to the workers. Meanwhile 1 in 5 families live in fear of
losing their homes.
It would be wonderful if a revolutionary
programme for socialism and working class power were to be proclaimed in
the Dail.
Although individual TDs and left groups
will provide an opposition, the workers republic will not be proclaimed
in this election. What will happen will be welcome. Capitalism will get
a slap in the face. Labour will be decimated. There will be a few
more left TDs and the new government will be a great deal more unstable
than the old.
But very little of what has happened to
us has been processed through the Dail. In the aftermath of the election
the state is deploying a permanent armed presence on the streets, the Troika
will step forward with new demands. It is this we must prepare for. |
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